For Professional Investors
Polymarket's "French Whale" made $30M betting on Trump's win. Billionaire hedge fund managers are calling prediction markets essential. But connecting those odds to your investment decisions? That's still impossibly hard.
The Problem
Prediction market odds live in one universe. Your portfolio models live in another. Manually bridging them means spreadsheets, guesswork, and missed opportunities.
How does a 65% probability of Fed rate cuts translate to your tech holdings? Without a systematic approach, you're flying blind on event-driven positioning.
Decision trees work for one investment. But across a portfolio of 50+ positions? The complexity explodes. Traditional methods simply can't keep up.
"My conclusion is that incorporating BOTH a betting market like @Polymarket along with structured, informed judgement is probably the best course."
Billionaire Hedge Fund Manager, November 2024
We Are The Connection Experts
Our founder learned decision trees at Stanford GSB, then spent two decades proving they work at the highest levels of institutional investing.
The Solution
Our patented ontology-driven SaaS helps you connect your prediction market bets to each other and to your other investments so you improve your portfolio's odds.
Pull live odds from Polymarket, Kalshi, and others directly into your investment scenarios.
Create interconnected event scenarios across your entire portfolio without drowning in complexity.
See exactly how changing event probabilities flow through to expected returns on each position.
As prediction market odds shift, watch your scenario-weighted valuations adjust automatically.
Join the investors who've stopped guessing and started connecting. Try Etcha free—no credit card required.
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